Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc368fb7b636a0693a231b6a98687259c28d6bbcf13e10a5c38f71bba6159e6da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $984,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,065,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $984,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 47c | 150,863$70,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,905.65 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 53c | 138,130$73,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,921.1 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 48c | 78,764$37,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,806.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 51c | 66,834$34,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,640.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 65,603$32,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,032.99 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 61,569$29,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,990.7 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 52,000$26,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,439.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 48c | 50,000$24,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,221.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 48c | 35,686$17,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,129.46 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 34,347$17,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,486.79 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 53c | 20,591$10,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,738.02 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 20,269$10,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,333.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.94 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 15,229$8,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.77 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 51c | 14,583$7,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,145.84 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 13,971$8,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.74 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yes | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 50c | 11,276$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.2 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 49c | 10,500$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 49c | 10,388$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 53c | 10,270$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 53c | 9,810$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.55 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 9,188$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.92 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 52c | 9,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 52c | 8,269$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 8,056$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.11 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 52c | 7,109$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 51c | 7,005$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.57 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…32bebacked No | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 52c | 7,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.93 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 49c | 6,953$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 49c | 6,860$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 48c | 6,750$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 74c | 6,700$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…e597backed No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Yes | 47c | 5,897$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 5,244$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.53 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.97 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 37c | 4,886$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.62 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…236cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,816$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 49c | 4,607$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 52c | 4,596$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.15 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…b4c9backed Yes | 48c | 4,271$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…8618backed No | 52c | 3,983$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 3,759$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,584$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 52c | 3,460$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.17 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 51c | 3,049$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.99 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.93 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 52c | 2,596$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.26 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,595$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.45 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 51c | 2,594$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 52c | 2,500$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 2,367$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.11 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 51c | 2,343$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 60c | 2,112$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.78 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…f3e9backed No | 52c | 2,073$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…3d6abacked Yes | 2c | 2,004$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5582…6af1backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…9291backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 1,932$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.51 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 53c | 1,817$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.76 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 47c | 1,808$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…aa7bbacked No | 52c | 1,734$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 46c | 1,646$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 48c | 1,573$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 39c | 1,531$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Yes | 75c | 1,461$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 35c | 1,376$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 52c | 1,368$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 68c | 1,299$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.76 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 47c | 1,298$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 48c | 1,281$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…fe2dbacked No | 53c | 1,246$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 49c | 1,242$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed No | 53c | 1,192$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.09 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 53c | 1,140$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed No | 53c | 1,119$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 59c | 1,118$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,109$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.61 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed No | 51c | 1,086$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 51c | 1,070$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…2a30backed Yes | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 77c | 1,019$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.