Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213253ed1f8569d694d2a31b29f1cbb647123ed661c0d951864a7be9bbb12e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2eb…562dbacked Yes | 27c | 98,626$26,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,629.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 28,198$20,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,618.8 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 11,225$7,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 10,379$7,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.33 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 8,374$6,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.95 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 6,575$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 6,500$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.48 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 6,182$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.34 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 21c | 4,662$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 2,699$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.42 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…5899backed Yes | 27c | 2,650$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 72c | 2,624$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 73c | 2,576$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 1,872$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.81 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,717$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 27c | 1,662$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.77 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,529$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 1,308$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.58 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 73c | 1,291$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.57 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 28c | 1,164$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 74c | 1,133$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,071$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 15c | 1,055$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 74c | 999.37$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 73c | 966$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 73c | 756$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 44c | 749.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.94 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…75d9backed Yes | 28c | 746$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 721$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.65 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 717.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…9802backed Yes | 21c | 706.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 73c | 666.4$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 632.59$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 73c | 598.39$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 67c | 553.74$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.51 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 551.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 28c | 515.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 460.48$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 73c | 449.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Yes | 21c | 430.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 401.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…7d74backed Yes | 24c | 400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 75c | 390.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 23c | 367.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 77c | 329.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…f6babacked Yes | 7c | 301.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed Yes | 18c | 273.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked No | 73c | 259$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9f29backed No | 73c | 257.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 26c | 253.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…07abbacked No | 73c | 248$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…675dbacked Yes | 16c | 244.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +335.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 74c | 242.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 20c | 233.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 73c | 217.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…cf1fbacked Yes | 58c | 216.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 23c | 213.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Yes | 17c | 210.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 205.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 17c | 205.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 75c | 201.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.