TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes26c34,800$9,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,751.911553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c17,610$12,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,486.883,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929a…4719backed No0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No74c11,219$8,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,302.412740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c8,061$5,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,96569851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No67c6,811$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.3128241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes48c5,324$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No57c4,999$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.495655.4%31 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c4,759$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.4175142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c4,651$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.42,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes28c4,489$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.05887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed No61c4,444$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.621747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes26c4,123$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.081241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No68c3,941$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.3551136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c3,429$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.6656547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes40c2,769$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.47837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No74c2,618$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.323154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c2,405$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.4215134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4805457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes35c1,802$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.34835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes56c1,440$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2615540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c1,295$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.330054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes25c1,266$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.7314447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes26c1,231$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.775046%23 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No59c1,207$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.932650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes69c1,202$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No27c1,108$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7423842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c1,056$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.251,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes18c1,055$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.71822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes36c971.68$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.6553645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Yes27c965.4$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+277%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No75c866.67$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No60c834.88$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.933250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes62c811.71$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No74c765.38$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.386251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c708$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9233945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe307…5644backed Yes19c706.46$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Yes64c703.13$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.131241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.662937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes31c688.29$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.923237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No40c599.61$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1113139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes7c554.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.831942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+126.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa78f…72dbbacked Yes79c506.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed Yes8c500$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+1,314.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Yes26c492.31$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.31988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No74c491.57$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.769746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe275…d3f4backed Yes26c488.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Yes26c482$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c470.32$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9478248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes29c455$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0544655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No56c446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.768224.4%20 W · 62 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1763633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes60c387$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.626344.4%28 W · 35 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes54c371.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.669856.1%55 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcecd…d968backed Yes25c361.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+301.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes26c350$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.215160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes35c321.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.745865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c316.94$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5319446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes63c316.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes30c302.56$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.327230.6%22 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22220545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes15c297.1$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.642119%4 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c296.52$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4122669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes26c282$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes32c278.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.443873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes47c272.36$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+180.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No48c262.88$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6311644%51 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No74c259.31$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8918746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No74c253.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.594938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes35c229.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+246.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Yes68c215.16$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40cd…627fbacked Yes62c213.35$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes26c211.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.544353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes26c211.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.543246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91c8…753dbacked Yes70c209.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1485250%26 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c199.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9916045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No74c199.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.313839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe815…d964backed Yes61c184.25$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Yes26c173.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes61c162.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.898858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6a…b518backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes26c150.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.181560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0f…675dbacked Yes13c150.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+335.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes72c150.21$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116660.6%40 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafdd…f6babacked No10c144.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes27c142.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf6…c788backed Yes70c142.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.84240.5%17 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+81.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.64639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes29c135.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked No74c135.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.