TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91c8…753d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+97.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+89.3%+$819.08
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$225.21
Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+864.5%+$432.27
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$103.04
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+189.4%+$416.01
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.5%+$373.4
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$136.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,034
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$274.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+93.9%+$1,049.34
Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$329.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.7%+$342.35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$836.05
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$878.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$163.47
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$130.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,256.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.