Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61611994460e5af56fc2db5e0032a44a8888e6db94e6c9f02b3bf46d98bb3c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 1c | 8,114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 29c | 1,721$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 1,503$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.97 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,497$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 1c | 1,197$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 26c | 1,095$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes | 80c | 1,029$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 991.45$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 989.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 644$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Yes | 78c | 641.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 75c | 629.54$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 500.08$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.9 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 16c | 447.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 29c | 431.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…b2cebacked Yes | 79c | 254.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 77c | 251$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 7c | 229.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed No | 28c | 216.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 10c | 205.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 10c | 187.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 20c | 179.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 48c | 161.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 10c | 156.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 16c | 139.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 20c | 117.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 54c | 107.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 22c | 105.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked No | 20c | 75.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 20c | 67.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 75c | 50.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed No | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 52c | 39.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…9e7ebacked Yes | 77c | 35.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 42c | 34.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 75c | 33.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 52c | 31.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Yes | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked Yes | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…dcfabacked Yes | 77c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4b7ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.