Premier League · resolved market
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5efcf65c9ee00066259ab3f16c34661233c4e1b77ba76a0ba3ff2eafa8631dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 6,774$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 73c | 4,794$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.25 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 339$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 332.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 213.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…e2a3backed No | 74c | 199.16$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 73c | 165$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 137.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed No | 79c | 126.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…9f55backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 25c | 46.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.