TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc71d…3f27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
240
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST6547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$174.11
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+54.9%+$54.85
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+55.1%+$27.54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+79.9%+$39.94
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+65.7%+$65.73
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Shrewsbury Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$57.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.31
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST4250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+191%+$95.49
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
William & Mary Tribe vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
New Haven Chargers vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
West Georgia Wolves vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+74.6%+$37.28
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigersbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+115.8%+$57.91
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+29%+$28.98
Norfolk State Spartans vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota State Bisonbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.2%+$17.59
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rhode Island Rams vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+41.7%+$20.85
Wichita State Shockers vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+71.7%+$107.58
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+169.2%+$134.62
Will Tanzania win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+151.3%+$181.59
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+273.1%+$819.2
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$384.66
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$266.03
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.52
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$94.12
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25.3%+$231.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.38
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.77
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+36.9%+$18.43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$61.36
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Sabres vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65.75
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$100
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ALLINNERS (BO3)backed Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.1%+$26.55
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega (BO3)backed Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$605.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+426.3%+$196.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$133.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.