Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb724e37eff418514b730a6c6bce5d44a8d4a21ea96bc6d9ba9d4eb5e98249da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 3,801$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.94 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,499$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 2c | 1,232$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 999.17$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 23c | 876.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 401.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 22c | 315.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 168.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 21c | 121.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 20c | 118.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…02e5backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 10c | 102.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 21c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 84.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 20c | 65.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 80c | 33.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed No | 80c | 19.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 77c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.