TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No63c11,732$7,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,378.891,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes50c9,535$4,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,762.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes30c9,526$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,687.84988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes30c8,452$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,951.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No70c7,000$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c6,782$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.191,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c6,528$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,570.4862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes76c4,001$3,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.035040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+120.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No71c3,386$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c3,107$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.0624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c2,800$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c2,725$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.2271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes54c2,723$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.2137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No70c1,580$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No78c1,539$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.8811070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No41c1,530$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.8533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c1,503$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.139140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,362$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.5514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No78c1,315$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.617251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes26c1,308$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c874.61$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.7223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No49c855.42$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.682250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No36c827$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.941154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes26c762.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes28c708.43$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.43850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes28c673.89$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.896648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No71c667.56$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No71c624.52$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.247252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a8…2927backed Yes26c614.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No71c594.3$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.019858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No71c500$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3561442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No74c457.8$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c424.94$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No72c404.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.593951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…ef9bbacked Yes28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes68c396.4$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.715071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No54c380.52$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8512343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c357$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0417043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes28c317.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.831827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2138263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x004d…665bbacked Yes79c298.59$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No71c289.84$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.824940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No71c238$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes38c209.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.456142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No35c194.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.919535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…b019backed Yes27c185.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes72c180$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.577735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes27c169.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.573616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No45c162.03$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.444742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd8…a28ebacked Yes56c152.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Yes29c142.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.45162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes71c135.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1916242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x902e…5743backed Yes30c133.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c133.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c129.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2835037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes55c125.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.31931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No75c111.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.324751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes57c103.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No73c103.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.916157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f5f…e7f9backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc84d…01e2backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.595735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.212744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked No73c82.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed No75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1324…aa38backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Yes27c72.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked Yes55c70.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+61.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.977540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab21…cd27backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc048…5a6bbacked No78c63.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No46c58.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes29c58.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed No50c56.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.