TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked No54c23,937$12,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,010.83850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c17,438$6,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,710.751,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes46c12,655$5,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,808.428447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes44c8,359$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.1737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No53c7,015$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.284940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b89…8c32backed Yes39c3,815$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes46c3,600$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.974932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes18c3,439$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.8326040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c3,309$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.6771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes17c3,300$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes40c3,125$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.5411070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No61c3,033$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No55c3,000$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.544131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes41c2,631$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08917251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No54c2,497$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.6217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.821770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes39c1,681$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6582040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No52c1,013$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.189140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed No51c999.91$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes48c999.19$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.615040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No71c945.62$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.478976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c920.4$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No55c910$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No54c890.17$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.137252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c852.65$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.881,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes7c761.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.335037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c721.5$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c686.27$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes46c678.38$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes6c550.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0260%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes34c533$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…785abacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes41c490.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes46c478.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No68c473.18$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.181275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Yes46c438$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes24c399.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c397$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1626660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c390.95$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0233938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No59c376.59$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.46942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No53c351.49$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed Yes8c339.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No53c338.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6950…86a1backed Yes47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c310$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes49c308.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes36c284.34$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.299535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c265.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6212343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes30c258.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.646157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes25c235.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No54c232.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7414045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes48c216.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.089858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes48c209.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.795255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c208$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No54c200.4$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.181540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes47c198.52$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…5830backed No73c197.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No55c187.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.832250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No53c144.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Yes39c128.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked No50c111.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…7616backed Yes46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977d…9a58backed Yes46c109.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes45c109.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7131…fb57backed Yes28c101.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes46c95.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.83333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c93.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4914337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…1200backed Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.39355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No61c88.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.594742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes20c73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8916242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a9…6bb5backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No61c69.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304139%16 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed No54c62.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes46c60.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…595cbacked Yes35c59.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e17…2b55backed Yes47c56.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0499…7066backed Yes48c56.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7913…b8e5backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.258355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.