TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x31dd…3c7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$3,566.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$193.12
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$239.09
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61.07
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$54.49
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$117.65
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180.26
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.29
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$130.15
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+152.8%+$958.15
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+203%+$1,012.02
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+77.5%+$232.44
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+358.4%+$4,373.07
Will Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100.15
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$156.21
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Linsbacked Lins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.18
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.35
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$223.33
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Timmy Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tuco Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Artur Minev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+216.1%+$377.12
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$160.74
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$41.84
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$4.05
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$247
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$299.89
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$1,185.13
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$317.52
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$160
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$136.3
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$51.76
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$103.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,439.02
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+312.7%+$813
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$851.35
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+294.7%+$1,768.22
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+113.4%+$794.05
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$923.17
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.55
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.26
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$334.78
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$152.39
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$124.2
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.39
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$73.65
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$130.84
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.41
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+670.8%+$95.12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,923Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$2,732.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84.69
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$557.14
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$271.81
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$211
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$391
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$440
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+250.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$242.84
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,073.95
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39%+$217.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+1,150%+$368
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$28.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$380
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.