TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Clippers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$867,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$929,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers25c55,812$13,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,674.5951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers78c45,000$35,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,90038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers78c32,006$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,005.5534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Cavaliers73c25,109$18,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,778.2217658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers25c23,381$5,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,845.3187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Clippers0c20,564$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.288820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Cavaliers75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Clippers21c20,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Cavaliers78c20,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5004456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Cavaliers75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Clippers25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9915841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Clippers27c18,868$5,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,094.433432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Clippers23c17,026$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.3435235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers75c15,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Clippers25c15,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers17c14,720$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…0523backed Clippers24c12,680$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers25c12,158$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.072,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers23c10,563$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.4296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Cavaliers77c10,430$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43013743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers78c9,209$7,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.8744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Clippers17c8,527$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.8326038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Clippers24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84c5…f6d0backed Clippers21c7,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers19c6,739$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.682,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers73c6,669$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers23c6,180$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.812,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Clippers20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Clippers22c5,774$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.7595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Clippers25c5,343$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.6524048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers76c5,339$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers1c5,203$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.031,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Clippers22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Cavaliers75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers73c4,931$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.51,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers75c4,895$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7443…e010backed Cavaliers77c4,800$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers12c4,495$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.823,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b18…84f7backed Clippers21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers5c3,723$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.261,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e3…8a03backed Clippers22c3,700$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers9c3,560$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers8c3,417$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.431,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa678…5ffabacked Clippers24c3,368$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c39…b49bbacked Cavaliers75c3,219$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers27c3,100$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Clippers0c3,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Clippers25c2,963$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.4935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers22c2,796$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.121,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Cavaliers74c2,448$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Clippers1c2,353$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.938783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers21c2,255$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.83,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Clippers24c2,239$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Clippers36c2,189$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.9238649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers77c2,133$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.1169852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Clippers24c2,100$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Clippers22c2,033$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.952,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Cavaliers79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Clippers27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Cavaliers74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52012843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Clippers25c2,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Cavaliers79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Cavaliers76c2,000$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.1375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers77c1,858$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.752,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Clippers24c1,852$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Clippers24c1,850$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.848132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d3…80edbacked Clippers24c1,828$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Clippers3c1,821$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4967911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Clippers23c1,756$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Clippers23c1,660$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.697050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e3…1951backed Cavaliers79c1,600$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41c…20f9backed Cavaliers79c1,600$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Clippers23c1,587$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9127145.4%123 W · 148 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers15c1,563$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.11,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers16c1,551$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.281,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf071…cbcbbacked Clippers2c1,508$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.092623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Clippers32c1,504$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6912458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Clippers22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683e…df7fbacked Cavaliers79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34549142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdab…47a8backed Cavaliers79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers10c1,482$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.361,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Clippers22c1,432$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5524330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Clippers2c1,405$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.994564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7675…f043backed Clippers23c1,400$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f1…7eebbacked Cavaliers79c1,400$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d26…8f82backed Cavaliers74c1,353$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Cavaliers74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.354252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Cavaliers77c1,322$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0511649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…d0babacked Cavaliers79c1,300$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers26c1,263$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.141,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc668…b6d8backed Clippers23c1,250$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Clippers25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d36…18a9backed Cavaliers79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e9…af61backed Cavaliers79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ff…8775backed Cavaliers79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Clippers22c1,195$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.810533.3%35 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.91,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4877…7f00backed Clippers23c1,150$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.