TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf071…cbcb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 50 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST2623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$58.27
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$37.55
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+32.6%+$10.16
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.09
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$58.13
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$191.82
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$161.96
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$176.93
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+499.2%+$557.13
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52.39
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35%+$12.7
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$93.42
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$147.07
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+39.9%+$29.36
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+630.2%+$165.1
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65.46
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.94
Wizards vs. Timberwolvesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.63
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.26
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.28
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$72.9
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$43.92
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.6%+$24.56
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.68
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+35.3%+$15.12
Jacksonville State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.8%+$46.4
USC vs. Oregonbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.56
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.74
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.85
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.23
Rutgers vs. Ohio Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28.32
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.68
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Wake Forestbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+118.5%+$64.91
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23.3
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$127.87
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.93
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+50.7%+$24.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.7
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.52
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.02
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.77
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80.91
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+47.5%+$9.47
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+58.3%+$10.62
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.03
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+196.9%+$80.11
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.2%+$10.48
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.25
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99.12
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33.46
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.79
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.71
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+101.8%+$194.75
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$67.84
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.26
Jets vs. Ravensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.15
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+55%+$27.13
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$154.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-88.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.05
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.74
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.97
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$30.33
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-71.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$14.51
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Kathryn Bigelow win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34.09
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.