NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9947a1c0f8d2ae1f1396510f2bf3832cb7d7156c017e772fea99d17c69aa5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Bills, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,908,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,183,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,908,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 31c | 462,793$144,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,245.18 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bills | 71c | 400,000$283,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283,993.6 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texans | 30c | 355,699$106,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249,561.72 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Bills | 68c | 156,249$106,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,249.4 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Bills | 67c | 154,029$103,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,849.94 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 52c | 153,815$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,000.13 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Texans | 72c | 152,546$109,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,575.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…f3c2backed Bills | 67c | 149,161$99,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,942.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Bills | 71c | 129,346$91,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,498.97 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 30c | 123,381$37,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,768.34 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Texans | 29c | 120,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,199.84 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bills | 69c | 76,500$52,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,870 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Bills | 44c | 74,390$32,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,739.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 71c | 74,121$52,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,713.72 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Bills | 70c | 70,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Texans | 29c | 65,555$19,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,543.98 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Texans | 28c | 64,693$17,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,892.14 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Texans | 59c | 62,190$36,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,643.41 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bills | 71c | 59,696$42,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,384.16 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bills | 68c | 53,369$36,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,290.65 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Texans | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bills | 69c | 47,755$32,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,951.19 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Bills | 71c | 46,300$32,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,890 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Bills | 69c | 46,022$31,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,524.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Texans | 28c | 44,747$12,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,209.57 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Texans | 28c | 42,062$11,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,408.03 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Texans | 29c | 40,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,399.88 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bills | 50c | 39,964$20,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,021.45 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…eba1backed Texans | 30c | 39,637$11,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,745.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Bills | 76c | 38,121$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bills | 71c | 35,412$25,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,142.39 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Texans | 47c | 33,180$15,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,585.4 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed Texans | 77c | 32,430$25,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,316.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Texans | 38c | 31,052$11,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,336.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bills | 42c | 26,755$11,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,287.86 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bills | 71c | 25,787$18,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,394.67 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Bills | 67c | 25,695$17,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,155.98 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Texans | 48c | 25,624$12,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,297.88 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bills | 38c | 25,440$9,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,552.52 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bills | 51c | 24,343$12,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,348.53 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Texans | 68c | 23,858$16,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,656.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 14cpaid | +520.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 71c | 23,070$16,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,380.01 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed Bills | 48c | 22,767$11,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,002.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 27c | 22,565$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,393.76 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Bills | 63c | 21,820$13,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,790.29 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Texans | 30c | 20,173$6,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,121.33 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Bills | 68c | 20,000$13,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,699.99 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Texans | 30c | 19,667$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,766.67 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Bills | 71c | 19,500$13,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,845 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bills | 70c | 19,000$13,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,265 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bills | 54c | 18,036$9,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,692.43 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Texans | 30c | 18,020$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,614 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bills | 56c | 16,460$9,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,160.79 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Texans | 30c | 14,116$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,881.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bills | 41c | 13,052$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.04 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bills | 48c | 12,857$6,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,153.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bills | 71c | 12,582$8,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,890.21 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bills | 40c | 11,733$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.25 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 71c | 11,563$8,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,206.93 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Texans | 29c | 10,933$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,762.45 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Bills | 40c | 10,387$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked Bills | 2c | 10,342$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bills | 43c | 10,225$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.85 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bills | 41c | 10,199$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.06 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Bills | 69c | 10,000$6,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,940 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Texans | 29c | 9,438$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,747.48 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Texans | 42c | 9,095$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236.61 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…e262backed Texans | 71c | 9,062$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Texans | 58c | 8,913$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…be79backed Bills | 67c | 8,827$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Texans | 70c | 8,724$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Bills | 71c | 8,433$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.43 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Bills | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Bills | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Bills | 53c | 7,533$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Bills | 71c | 7,469$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.13 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Bills | 54c | 7,400$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texans | 23c | 7,311$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.92 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Bills | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bills | 46c | 6,949$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.92 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bills | 72c | 6,873$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.59 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Bills | 46c | 6,484$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Bills | 49c | 6,041$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texans | 48c | 5,933$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.5 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Bills | 60c | 5,852$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Texans | 31c | 5,842$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.87 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Bills | 68c | 5,678$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.1 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bills | 71c | 5,662$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.84 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Bills | 68c | 5,508$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.14 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…c54bbacked Bills | 71c | 5,442$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 45c | 5,379$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.48 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Texans | 31c | 5,362$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…a2e5backed Bills | 69c | 5,140$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.67 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Bills | 49c | 5,088$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.22 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bills | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Bills | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Bills | 63c | 5,000$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Bills | 77c | 5,000$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Bills | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Texans | 36c | 4,912$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.19 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Texansthis page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5Under won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.