NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ae125498dbc5969914a5cd0de638067b22abd0bdedf88ca01f52c60a6d3a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Bills, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,523,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,663,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,523,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Texans | 56c | 1,258,082$710,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547,702.63 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…aaaebacked Bills | 45c | 1,047,842$468,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468,977.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Texans | 55c | 249,795$137,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,407.95 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Bills | 42c | 236,751$99,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,435.62 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bills | 44c | 125,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,999.97 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Texans | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Bills | 42c | 80,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Bills | 43c | 78,356$33,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,690.77 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 44c | 60,205$26,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,698.08 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bills | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400.01 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Bills | 44c | 32,500$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 43c | 30,429$12,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,952.27 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bills | 41c | 26,279$10,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,773.44 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bills | 43c | 23,989$10,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195.19 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bills | 44c | 21,805$9,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,698.43 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bills | 43c | 20,686$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.15 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bills | 51c | 20,506$10,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,463.86 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bills | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 50c | 17,298$8,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,728.46 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Bills | 41c | 16,400$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texans | 52c | 16,280$8,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,814.42 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texans | 53c | 13,997$7,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.91 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Texans | 59c | 13,546$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bills | 43c | 12,498$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.41 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bills | 47c | 10,050$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.48 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Bills | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Texans | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.55 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Bills | 44c | 9,333$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Texans | 58c | 8,767$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 56c | 8,523$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.12 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Bills | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Texans | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bills | 42c | 5,272$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.28 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Bills | 44c | 4,895$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.79 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 48c | 4,626$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.54 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bills | 43c | 4,159$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.37 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills | 43c | 3,169$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.19 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 53c | 3,099$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.3 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Bills | 43c | 3,034$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.77 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bills | 42c | 2,932$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.7 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Bills | 53c | 2,535$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.47 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Texans | 53c | 2,421$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Texans | 56c | 2,268$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Texans | 56c | 2,201$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Texans | 56c | 2,102$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Bills | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Bills | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Bills | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Texans | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bills | 44c | 1,882$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.75 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bills | 42c | 1,787$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.47 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 54c | 1,580$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.8 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…e795backed Texans | 58c | 1,540$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1bb1backed Bills | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Texans | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…6d7ebacked Bills | 46c | 1,294$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Texans | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Bills | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Bills | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Bills | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bills | 41c | 1,085$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.75 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Texans | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.53 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Texans | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Texans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Texans | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Bills | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Texans | 56c | 931.38$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Texans | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Bills | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Texans | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Texans | 74c | 908.01$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.83 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texans | 69c | 825.41$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bills | 44c | 790$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Bills | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…a80fbacked Bills | 46c | 672$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Bills | 46c | 653$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Texans | 58c | 634.69$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.69 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…3cc7backed Texans | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Bills | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bills | 42c | 600$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bills | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Texans | 52c | 583.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Texans | 57c | 563.35$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Texans | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Bills | 42c | 535.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Texans | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…adf9backed Bills | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Texans | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…c1b0backed Bills | 46c | 492$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…64eebacked Texans | 55c | 471$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…afb9backed Bills | 46c | 461$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Texans | 57c | 454.39$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…0d5abacked Bills | 46c | 452$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Bills | 43c | 451.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Texans | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…cea1backed Texans | 55c | 447$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texans | 51c | 445.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Bills | 46c | 436.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Bills | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…c7c2backed Bills | 46c | 423$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Bills vs. TexansTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5Under won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.