TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d5c…aad0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST3661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$116.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$214.29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Vitality (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$204.23
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$204.23
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$213.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32.3%+$74.43
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$234.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+109.5%+$218.93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+151.2%+$378.04
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$222.11
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+30.8%+$419.34
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$496
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,737.05
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$620.51
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$168.75
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$282.57
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$116.67
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$183.87
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Spread: LAR (-10.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$269.23
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.1%+$308.47
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$321.43
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$288.87
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+76.8%+$1,041.99
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$176.19
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$108.36
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.58
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,926Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+45.8%+$881.83
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+27.6%+$261.82
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Spread: Georgia (-15.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37%+$110.96
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$150
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$30.63
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$276.56
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$132.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$276.19
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$138.03
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$214.29
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.9%+$88.2
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+80.8%+$403.97
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$227.01
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$108.03
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.31
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$728
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$235.38
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$318.81
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$292.35
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,849.28
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$315.79
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$492.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$176.19
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+59.8%+$156.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$297
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$99.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$187.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,268Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$926.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$35.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.3%+$945.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.6%+$102.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.