TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,891,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,867,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,891,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,797 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Yes58c729,585$422,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,884.951030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No42c213,358$90,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,805.4827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No42c206,474$86,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,678.4424846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c84,730$34,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,886.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No28c74,172$20,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,403.847945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No42c53,273$22,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,989.3621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No43c38,146$16,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,554.5713829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No45c36,867$16,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,102.1629253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes72c35,566$25,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,553.527147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No28c30,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,60011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c29,521$14,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,451.532,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No28c25,070$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,050.4118950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes72c20,615$14,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,843.0718948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes71c20,000$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,20031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No28c16,528$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,926.7531944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No31c14,999$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,349.3911349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes10c13,467$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.534829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No29c11,621$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,250.8610849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No29c10,562$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,498.742661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No28c10,180$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,329.68453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No29c10,066$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,146.9710236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2006357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c8,551$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.214,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c5,991$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.132,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f5…a5aebacked No27c5,665$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,135.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1c…431bbacked No27c5,363$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes49c5,052$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes72c5,041$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.5214544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b69…a195backed Yes73c4,989$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,641.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No38c4,763$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.656746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No52c4,610$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.391,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7542…fb53backed No27c4,609$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.23977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef1b…4dbcbacked Yes73c4,558$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Yes3c4,386$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.354847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3b…69c0backed No27c4,358$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x245c…b8d7backed No27c4,180$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No41c3,869$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.3156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ec…9ff6backed No27c3,852$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88e…84f1backed No27c3,786$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No75c3,765$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.225054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No27c3,466$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.2214450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes51c3,369$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.0212345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes50c3,275$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.4325225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…0e7dbacked No27c3,204$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x107e…f797backed No27c3,105$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d06…c758backed Yes73c3,049$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Yes71c3,045$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.142548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe890…b9c2backed No27c3,037$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.21875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+84.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1302755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcac5…f0f1backed No27c2,995$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Yes71c2,961$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.315164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Yes71c2,940$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.152846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99a6…19d7backed Yes73c2,924$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28d5…7ef4backed No27c2,866$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…97d3backed No27c2,790$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No29c2,766$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.4941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e28…ee1bbacked No27c2,761$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+101.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf4b…0c72backed No27c2,727$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8320…c090backed No27c2,688$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.245100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+100.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6908…2fd1backed No27c2,664$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.72520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8a…c883backed No27c2,584$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.32887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+93.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No27c2,524$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.3448150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes56c2,499$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9857…dc2bbacked Yes73c2,499$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.29825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe977…6e1dbacked No27c2,482$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+67.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcee3…baa6backed No27c2,479$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc757…a7fcbacked No27c2,467$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a7a…a19abacked Yes73c2,446$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9714…1a10backed Yes73c2,435$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes66c2,424$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6006051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes65c2,413$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…032abacked Yes73c2,404$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa920…7639backed Yes73c2,359$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a3d3backed No27c2,356$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.88875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+79.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa256…121cbacked No27c2,325$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6da…08b2backed Yes73c2,306$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05d…148abacked Yes73c2,300$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e2b…4adebacked Yes73c2,296$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39a2…c62dbacked Yes73c2,283$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c49…9565backed No27c2,277$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick28cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c2,262$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.7767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe032…d0a8backed No27c2,259$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+137%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…e92dbacked Yes73c2,248$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbaa…1188backed Yes73c2,221$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3bd…72a2backed No27c2,211$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…3cb8backed Yes73c2,198$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d2…131dbacked No27c2,197$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.81560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+86%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x472a…512ebacked No27c2,118$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+114.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf5…10f2backed No27c2,107$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca2…28a3backed No27c2,104$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ca…8802backed Yes73c2,097$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe613…29b4backed No27c2,093$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+137%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No29c2,069$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.9724047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2f…b144backed No27c2,068$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.399843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4606833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed No28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb413…461ebacked Yes73c1,994$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.6240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.