TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes40c25,311$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,311.485324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No48c17,635$8,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,385.51,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes60c12,872$7,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c8,996$5,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,152.126,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c7,359$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.834,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes65c7,047$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.57536%27 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed No4c6,998$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.774847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes73c6,432$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.4320239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No41c4,151$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.8929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c3,963$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.052,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No34c3,524$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.6318259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes60c3,340$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.835536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No31c3,062$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.311,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0965…f434backed Yes66c3,030$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes35c2,842$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.3912345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x024d…b912backed Yes35c2,823$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes34c2,735$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes64c2,642$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.073647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes68c2,488$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.121965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes30c2,344$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No66c2,170$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.211162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes18c1,788$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.161,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No31c1,617$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c1,581$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.781,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c1,355$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.81,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.3522125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d7…1d3abacked Yes67c1,257$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes71c1,224$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8417744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes55c1,176$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.681442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No39c1,054$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes62c864.47$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.475151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.334643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes60c802.72$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.091464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No41c796.58$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes71c774.99$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2245646.4%26 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No44c693.1$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2813249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes32c659.56$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.568229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efc…e64abacked Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes50c628.22$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0517635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a2…4a13backed No33c605.97$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2418123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes38c507.51$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.663231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes36c503.61$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.31944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705a…1678backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41529427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes80c467.18$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.184065%26 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No55c452$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7815347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes31c400.32$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.318740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No28c386.55$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9830739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No53c378.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Yes18c366.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.671050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+92.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44e4…7626backed Yes40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes70c336.37$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.813246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes17c314$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6237036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7fe…d4f9backed No68c307.97$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.37580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…90cfbacked Yes59c296.59$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2589…ebd2backed Yes71c289.21$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5ed9backed Yes68c280.1$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.631650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7819826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No68c271$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.289532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed No42c268.65$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.493333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Yes67c262.69$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.691668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes18c250$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x668d…f8bbbacked Yes74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes27c234.38$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6332222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.225545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.227339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes18c222$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0414945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes39c205.34$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.347328.8%21 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes18c193.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.722755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5485…231cbacked Yes30c183.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.013336.4%12 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.476942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No57c176$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes69c172.46$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.463046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.432626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked No47c170.48$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.634250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…bfa1backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-46.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.868927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes17c120.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.31,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf9…02f5backed Yes68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.658343.4%36 W · 47 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+73%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1116160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1114441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.117936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…535fbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.113557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+54.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.624062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4850…6442backed No17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.