TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x680b…276a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST4250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+129%+$129.93
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.29
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.2%+$13.73
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100.6%+$87.91
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.24
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+54.3%+$79.77
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$144.06
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.28
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$66.12
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.44
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+122%+$34.91
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.5%+$109.15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$126.58
Will Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$80.63
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.9%+$178.3
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$89.33
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25.1%+$102.31
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+50.1%+$18.44
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.64
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.61
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44%+$16.11
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.63
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.19
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.91
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$53.49
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.63
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+32.8%+$59.32
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.69
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.8%+$9.35
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+86.6%+$205.66
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.34
Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$20.12
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+79.9%+$69.04
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$220.8
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$87.62
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$61.36
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+30.2%+$32.81
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$122.11
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+26.2%+$93.85
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.19
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$48.66
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.8%+$33.23
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$131.07
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$47.88
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+82.4%+$41.94
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68.21
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$89.66
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.19
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$301.67
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$72.06
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.7%+$17.37
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.48
Broncos vs. Commanders: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32.55
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.87
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$84.27
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$33.29
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$67.18
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+45.6%+$33.68
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$36.19
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.3%+$11.31
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+157.3%+$156.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+105.2%+$113.27
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$61.45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.4%+$6.73
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$161.77
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$162.63
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$422.79
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+77.6%+$79.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+32.2%+$19.64
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.53
Valorant: DRX vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3)backed Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+65.4%+$22.75
Valorant: SLT vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$56.39
Valorant: SLT vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SLT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+164.2%+$16.52
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$141.04
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.96
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)backed ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$83.1
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$47.72
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.55
California Baptist Lancers vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+49%+$13.45
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$37.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+138%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+194.1%+$36.01
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$21.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+59.1%+$20.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.