NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a8b6beae8c15cf8aafa63e68c79999551cc90bc102a2ccc45e81aa362d561f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,419,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,477,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,419,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 16c | 223,108$36,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,717.31 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 18c | 191,684$35,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,455.21 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Warriors | 18c | 142,436$25,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,638.43 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Warriors | 16c | 134,782$20,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,990.36 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Warriors | 16c | 134,144$20,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,876.21 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Warriors | 17c | 101,729$17,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,694 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 19c | 100,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Warriors | 14c | 69,060$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,959 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 17c | 46,007$7,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,690.28 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 11c | 38,929$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.66 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 20c | 33,275$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.81 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Warriors | 17c | 31,100$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 8c | 29,828$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.22 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Warriors | 4c | 28,701$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.98 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors | 21c | 27,685$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.37 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 19c | 25,135$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.26 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 17c | 24,908$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.71 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Warriors | 17c | 22,513$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Warriors | 17c | 14,572$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Warriors | 12c | 12,900$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Warriors | 17c | 11,781$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.75 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 0c | 10,869$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…53a2backed Warriors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 11c | 9,760$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.49 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Warriors | 28c | 9,121$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 8,872$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Warriors | 9c | 8,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 17c | 7,100$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Warriors | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Warriors | 19c | 6,595$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed Warriors | 15c | 6,572$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Warriors | 3c | 6,445$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 10c | 6,332$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.85 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Warriors | 21c | 6,136$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.18 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Warriors | 16c | 5,609$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 1c | 5,096$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…d125backed Warriors | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Warriors | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Warriors | 16c | 4,914$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 9c | 4,872$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Warriors | 18c | 4,822$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 13c | 4,777$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.17 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 78c | 4,729$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 80c | 4,666$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.14 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 12c | 4,521$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.18 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Warriors | 18c | 4,258$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.48 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…f075backed Warriors | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…e26bbacked Warriors | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…cf6bbacked Warriors | 17c | 3,940$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Thunder | 79c | 3,900$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Warriors | 15c | 3,868$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Warriors | 8c | 3,611$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecf…0ebbbacked Warriors | 20c | 3,575$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Warriors | 16c | 3,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 21c | 3,253$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.21 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Warriors | 17c | 3,128$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Warriors | 19c | 3,041$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.71 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 38c | 3,015$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.85 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Warriors | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 1c | 2,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Warriors | 18c | 2,688$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Warriors | 19c | 2,650$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.45 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ec…0e6abacked Warriors | 16c | 2,630$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Warriors | 17c | 2,598$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.72 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 21c | 2,546$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Warriors | 16c | 2,522$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 60c | 2,500$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.5 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Warriors | 9c | 2,418$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…16ccbacked Warriors | 2c | 2,375$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…f118backed Warriors | 19c | 2,368$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Warriors | 19c | 2,360$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 14c | 2,322$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.85 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…deb3backed Warriors | 15c | 2,317$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Warriors | 8c | 2,249$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Warriors | 5c | 2,222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Warriors | 17c | 2,216$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.72 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 17c | 2,129$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.72 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Warriors | 18c | 2,027$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.86 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Warriors | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Warriors | 18c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Warriors | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 6c | 1,976$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Thunder | 61c | 1,959$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.9 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…dcbbbacked Warriors | 13c | 1,808$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…1379backed Warriors | 7c | 1,805$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…6764backed Warriors | 17c | 1,777$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…45ccbacked Warriors | 18c | 1,770$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…8ad3backed Warriors | 12c | 1,757$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 17c | 1,739$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Warriors | 6c | 1,692$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Warriors | 17c | 1,668$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…f07dbacked Warriors | 18c | 1,622$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…673fbacked Warriors | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Warriors | 8c | 1,484$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Warriors | 17c | 1,470$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…d756backed Warriors | 16c | 1,467$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…20eebacked Warriors | 11c | 1,407$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Warriors | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.