NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62075be3ef78858cb7817f9b1a96cf6c73f87a327a9041e51baf7363c3910ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Warriors | 57c | 59,102$33,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,448.23 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Thunder | 43c | 50,741$21,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,836.39 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 44c | 19,080$8,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,305.2 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 56c | 13,413$7,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.92 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 56c | 5,318$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.91 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Thunder | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Thunder | 45c | 2,224$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.6 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 43c | 1,650$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 50c | 1,583$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Warriors | 52c | 1,485$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.8 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,345$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Warriors | 57c | 1,065$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.89 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 46c | 1,015$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Warriors | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Thunder | 44c | 825$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Thunder | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Warriors | 58c | 715.52$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.52 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Warriors | 51c | 604.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Warriors | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 48c | 499.93$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 47c | 488.58$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 56c | 470.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Thunder | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Thunder | 46c | 378.75$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Thunder | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Warriors | 54c | 370.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 50c | 316$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 46c | 296.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fe…d4f9backed Warriors | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Thunder | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 50c | 232.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Thunder | 42c | 223.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 26c | 207.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Warriors | 41c | 201$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Warriors | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Warriors | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Thunder | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Warriors | 55c | 182.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Warriors | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Warriors | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…118ebacked Thunder | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Thunder | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…8ee9backed Thunder | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Thunder | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Thunder | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 48c | 129.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Warriors | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Thunder | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…78aebacked Thunder | 47c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Warriors | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Warriors | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Warriors | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Thunder | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Warriors | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Warriors | 77c | 92.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 53c | 91.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Warriors | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Warriors | 56c | 80.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Thunder | 47c | 70.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Warriors | 57c | 69.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Thunder | 52c | 65.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Thunder | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…2a5fbacked Thunder | 47c | 52.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Warriors | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Thunder | 47c | 43.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f6…d6b6backed Thunder | 47c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 33c | 42.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Warriors | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Warriors | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Thunder | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Warriors | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Thunder | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Warriors | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…2349backed Warriors | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…5e0dbacked Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Warriors | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Warriors | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…f0cbbacked Warriors | 54c | 19.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. WarriorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.