TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29f6…d6b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.59
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$267.1
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$106.59
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.86
LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$841.85
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.43
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.13
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+30%+$167.68
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.51
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.74
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$74.16
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$58.79
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-82.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.22
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.62
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.69
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+60.2%+$24.08
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 177m and 187m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+57.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santos: Murkel Dellien vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$183.53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$120.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+111.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+322.1%+$241.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.