Movies · resolved market
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1ac7b687b78eac6ea6702a248856c730999a066bd867dc09770728168fa52c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 71c | 24,361$17,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,946.62 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 53c | 22,826$11,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,989.78 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 65c | 22,371$14,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,822.97 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 64c | 13,265$8,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.39 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 74c | 12,876$9,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.27 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 39c | 12,598$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,684.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 69c | 12,474$8,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.72 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 35c | 11,088$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 58c | 9,264$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.74 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 11c | 8,789$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.06 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 8,722$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.32 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…9811backed No | 26c | 8,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…a502backed Yes | 59c | 6,857$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a2…b036backed No | 1c | 6,362$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Yes | 59c | 6,143$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed No | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 67c | 5,581$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.91 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,559$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.58 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 9c | 4,056$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 1c | 4,008$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 78c | 3,809$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 56c | 3,804$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 54c | 3,303$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.42 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 47c | 3,200$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed No | 7c | 2,876$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 77c | 2,792$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.76 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 43c | 2,779$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.26 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,394$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.18 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 62c | 2,266$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.82 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 31c | 2,182$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 60c | 2,109$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.06 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,048$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.25 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 35c | 2,022$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed No | 1c | 2,001$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 2c | 1,880$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 65c | 1,879$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.41 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,856$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.37 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…d584backed Yes | 63c | 1,839$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 41c | 1,796$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 41c | 1,782$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed No | 6c | 1,728$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 13c | 1,674$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 67c | 1,669$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.07 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0615backed No | 65c | 1,623$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61d…e267backed Yes | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,578$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.58 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…716dbacked No | 19c | 1,465$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…e8dcbacked Yes | 70c | 1,435$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…c5f8backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 34c | 1,404$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.64 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed No | 9c | 1,382$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…908abacked Yes | 62c | 1,374$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…58f2backed Yes | 51c | 1,323$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 77c | 1,300$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 22c | 1,273$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.63 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 56c | 1,268$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed No | 21c | 1,201$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6429…33fcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,160$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 1,157$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed No | 16c | 1,066$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 71c | 1,039$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked Yes | 69c | 1,025$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed No | 39c | 998.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.61 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 43c | 997.46$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.7 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 70c | 908.79$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.91 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…0467backed Yes | 62c | 899.89$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed Yes | 66c | 897.77$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 70c | 881.79$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…809dbacked Yes | 61c | 850$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 76c | 829.73$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 30c | 821.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.18 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes | 72c | 816.31$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 31c | 802.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 35c | 800.15$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 779.99$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 37c | 779.8$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.18 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…3de9backed Yes | 58c | 767$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 66c | 754.74$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 754.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 13c | 742.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 66c | 736.18$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 50c | 735.89$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 33c | 709.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…dd82backed Yes | 58c | 701$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 62c | 680.78$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 47c | 658.81$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.81 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 73c | 636.29$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…14c5backed Yes | 71c | 629.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…1bd6backed No | 10c | 590.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…a377backed No | 52c | 584$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 63c | 554.97$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?this page
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.