TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x134f…cdb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST2236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$43.81
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$76.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+153.8%+$47.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+82.9%+$249.86
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51.08
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$804.05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44.66
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+790.7%+$3,751.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,783Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.8%+$3,689.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,017Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+48.2%+$2,420.78
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$66.58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$202.26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.9%+$569.51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+31.4%+$55.11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+396.1%+$463.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.97
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50.33
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.8%+$27.33
Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.65
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+66.8%+$70.48
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+108.7%+$43.48
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+121.2%+$58.18
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+65.8%+$19.16
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.5%+$14.17
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+154.7%+$189.45
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+84.9%+$52.24
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+99.9%+$12.26
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22.34
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40.78
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+27.2%+$73.26
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27.09
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+47.8%+$23.9
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.62
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.28
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69.17
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+124.2%+$33.61
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+116.9%+$585.41
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+215.5%+$2,030.74
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$34.86
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+71.5%+$20.04
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.1%+$49.77
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.6%+$278.49
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$469.65
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$488.53
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,233.08
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-85.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$47.53
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$488.27
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,967Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.4%+$842.35
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$231.02
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.67
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,730.25
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 177m and 187m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+165%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$47.59
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.51
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+97.6%+$465.72
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+77.5%+$30.98
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+1,335.7%+$220.63
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-78.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+105.4%+$118.81
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+156.4%+$35.69
Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-74.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+38.5%+$145.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$76.16
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$14.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.