College Football · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a30a7c2ee0972b298699af83b12ed3f78486f9c5f17efe532e9473331e725d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Over | 49c | 33,481$16,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,075.31 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 49c | 29,000$14,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,790 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 20,606$10,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,448.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 51c | 13,271$6,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,768.21 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 51c | 12,300$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 5,215$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.42 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 5,005$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.43 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 4,108$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.7 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 51c | 3,348$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 51c | 2,133$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.85 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 51c | 1,812$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 51c | 708$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 644.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.3 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 49c | 555$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Over | 49c | 500.01$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.93 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 441$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…005dbacked Over | 50c | 351.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Under | 51c | 276.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 127.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Over | 50c | 71.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 51c | 34.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…daa6backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…00dabacked Over | 49c | 21.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 51.5this page
- O/U 53.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. WashingtonWashington won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Washington (-14.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-16.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-17.5)Washington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.