TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8be…c8d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
326
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3831.6%12 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+157.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+181.2%+$3,866.55
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$192
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$1,520
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.97
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,746.38
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.33
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179.02
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+151.1%+$1,805.35
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$400
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+143.9%+$22.22
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+234.3%+$368.55
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$121
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$855.84
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$101.49
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$271.87
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Zohran Mamdani disparage Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$167.33
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60.3
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$408.77
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$660.71
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$156.16
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+566.7%+$121.71
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+138.1%+$580
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+156.4%+$73.2
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,158
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,066.12
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+626.5%+$3,890
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,135.02
Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$439.92
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$405
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,356.99
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,932.87
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,541.56
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$269.3
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$97.78
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,027.08
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$559.99
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$639.99
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,400
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+358%+$239.8
US strikes Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+900%+$540
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.1%+$50.02
Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$668.8
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$278.18
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33.52
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$148
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$546.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+563.8%+$1,698.73
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$81.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$432
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+63.8%+$116.83
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$399.01
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$232.01
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108%+$207.71
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$269.03
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$719.1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$349.99
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$99.99
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$570.17
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$302.65
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,169.42
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$405
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$940
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+292%+$1,117.26
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+1,308.5%+$4,644.99
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$175.5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+571.2%+$3,243.56
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,599.99
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$540
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$356.24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$63.74
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.99
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$328.32
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2516%4 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$292
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$168.58
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.1
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$601.1
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$132.82
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,119.99
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$970.84
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+90.5%+$42.75
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+110.8%+$1,051.33
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$441.84
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$276
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$214.99
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$355
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 1 straight weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will "Kevin Hart: Acting My Age" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 2, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+809.1%+$890
Will "Train Dreams" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$102
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$234.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$313.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$136.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$168.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$568.36
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$620
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+400%+$155.88
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38.59
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs B8 (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$78.1
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$270
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$125.99
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$63.98
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$72.09
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$84.56
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+165.5%+$1,870
Will Kast win by at least 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$159.83
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$629.98
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,074.01
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+566.7%+$1,700
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$773
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Jara win by at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-79.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$450.37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$414
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$146.76
Will Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$229.99
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$45.2
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$805
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$195.99
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$149.95
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$448
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$134.23
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$967.79
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.12
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$376
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$660
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$288
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$384.96
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+228.5%+$1,252
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$429.99
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$301.99
49ers vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$910
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$486
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$363
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,173
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,026
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$213.19
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+86.3%+$556
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$306
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$88.98
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$184.82
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+605.6%+$1,751.89
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$510
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$318.02
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$278.71
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$160
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+481.4%+$827.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$408
Spread: Wake Forest (-6.5)backed North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$55
North Carolina vs. Wake Forestbacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+70.9%+$249
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$262
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+94.2%+$194
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+208.5%+$811
Spread: Arizona State (-10.5)backed Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Eastern Michigan vs. Ball Statebacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$446
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$182
Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70.28
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$106.83
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$290
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$363.98
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$312
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Japan vs Team Liquid (BO1)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$224
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.1%+$803.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$106.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$222
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$560
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.