Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56afcf5b2db4531f9f339edc04acc9c29a777127b79164cf8850556d164f5ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,529,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,764,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,529,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab19…4876backed Yes | 77c | 180,867$138,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,946.98 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…6772backed No | 1c | 90,517$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…0540backed No | 1c | 87,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…2be7backed No | 1c | 78,766$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…585bbacked No | 1c | 73,749$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 47,509$13,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,905.92 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7482backed No | 28c | 35,654$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,981 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed No | 7c | 34,230$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.48 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 4c | 29,543$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.62 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked No | 40c | 26,797$10,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,722.92 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 3c | 24,300$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.86 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed No | 68c | 15,262$10,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,328.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…1a9dbacked No | 1c | 14,792$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 6c | 11,039$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.35 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked No | 9c | 10,768$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 27c | 9,095$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.8 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…9c15backed No | 3c | 8,988$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 9c | 8,178$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.72 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 14c | 7,306$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.5 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 74c | 7,265$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.79 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 60c | 7,083$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.67 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed No | 1c | 6,753$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…ccd0backed No | 7c | 6,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…57e6backed No | 1c | 6,567$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked No | 4c | 6,372$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.48 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…7e3abacked No | 0c | 6,353$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 6,085$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 0c | 6,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 5,900$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…87a8backed No | 0c | 5,533$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 1c | 5,520$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 27c | 5,360$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…17a8backed No | 41c | 5,346$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 7c | 5,036$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.46 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8517…ecfebacked No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 7c | 5,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…cd81backed Yes | 59c | 4,991$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa688…2136backed No | 3c | 4,804$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…0865backed No | 0c | 4,786$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…52c1backed No | 1c | 4,533$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,444$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.7 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…65b1backed No | 5c | 4,340$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 1c | 4,244$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed No | 5c | 4,221$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 51c | 3,961$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 64c | 3,683$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…2661backed No | 14c | 3,614$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd86…b680backed No | 2c | 3,607$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked Yes | 53c | 3,504$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…32c2backed No | 29c | 3,380$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 48c | 3,317$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.4 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…573abacked No | 59c | 3,301$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…acacbacked No | 6c | 3,258$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 9c | 3,250$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…a4d1backed No | 11c | 3,216$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 76c | 3,114$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…c06fbacked No | 4c | 3,104$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 69c | 3,021$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 8c | 3,010$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…bf0abacked Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.46 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 28c | 3,000$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed No | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed No | 10c | 2,944$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…2ca2backed No | 9c | 2,907$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…1f9fbacked No | 0c | 2,850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…603bbacked No | 4c | 2,780$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 73c | 2,742$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…347fbacked No | 2c | 2,644$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8240backed No | 0c | 2,638$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 2,630$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.04 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…5c42backed No | 5c | 2,502$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 29c | 2,355$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 27c | 2,314$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -82%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 4c | 2,137$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed No | 3c | 2,083$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,067$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 13c | 2,013$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 50c | 2,009$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 7c | 2,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…c282backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3769…b912backed No | 2c | 1,976$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…5d3abacked No | 1c | 1,934$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…ac6abacked No | 4c | 1,909$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 39c | 1,751$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.39 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…d604backed Yes | 57c | 1,745$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 1,710$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…6be3backed No | 1c | 1,696$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0a90backed No | 18c | 1,680$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…d686backed No | 4c | 1,677$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…0cf9backed No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed No | 1c | 1,663$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…6cf1backed No | 6c | 1,661$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 4c | 1,600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…b538backed No | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e15…a5bdbacked Yes | 64c | 1,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 59c | 1,543$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…7de2backed No | 2c | 1,517$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed No | 7c | 1,443$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.