Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8413748c69bbf59d48533e19ad5928b297695656373878ca82ae4dd9a45dfcbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $667,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 50,680$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 36,765$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 0c | 18,343$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,080$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 15,679$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…6c6abacked Yes | 0c | 12,109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…1a9dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,016$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…1f24backed Yes | 1c | 9,722$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes | 1c | 8,268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 8,017$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 3c | 8,010$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.66 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 0c | 6,640$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…a3c2backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c69…2ad5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…ad14backed Yes | 21c | 4,691$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…afe2backed Yes | 0c | 4,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Yes | 1c | 3,366$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 2c | 2,857$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…96a0backed Yes | 2c | 2,604$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…df20backed Yes | 4c | 2,511$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,155$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…1cf1backed Yes | 1c | 1,890$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,820$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,705$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…b42fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,591$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,572$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,509$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,487$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,406$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 63c | 1,382$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…3a87backed Yes | 1c | 1,301$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 10c | 1,037$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 999.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…f431backed Yes | 6c | 835.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 13c | 636.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 554.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…c2efbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 7c | 499$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 12c | 431.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 7c | 397$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 11c | 375.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…cb80backed Yes | 7c | 360$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 79c | 348.14$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…bd48backed Yes | 8c | 237.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…746abacked Yes | 8c | 231.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 11c | 202.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067b…fb69backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 9c | 195$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…ee77backed Yes | 11c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…8348backed Yes | 8c | 153.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 21c | 152.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 145.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…b3ccbacked Yes | 8c | 133.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…1cd6backed Yes | 20c | 101.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70c…2d57backed Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…41edbacked Yes | 17c | 91.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…8882backed Yes | 20c | 63.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 73c | 52.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.