TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c69…9e30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST4531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$912.07
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+216.6%+$1,191.38
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$157.66
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,990.69
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,403Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.1%+$1,907.94
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,195.25
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$900.12
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.6%+$804.71
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$189
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+58.3%+$496.11
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$298
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$74.8
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.01
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$161
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+62.6%+$886.39
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$597.97
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+1,364%+$2,264.26
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,083.98
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+127.2%+$253.03
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$738.46
Will Valencia vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Espanyol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$43.34
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$57.11
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Osasuna vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$263
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$591
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$269
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$235.68
Will Athletic Club vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$953.77
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$249.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$78.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$46.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$113.7
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$266.67
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+46%+$276.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$230.77
Will Athletic Bilbao vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+257.5%+$257.5
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$247.5
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+38.8%+$51.26
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will Paraguay win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Senegal win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25.4%+$443.25
Will Ecuador win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paraguay win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Will Paraguay win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-87.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.72
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.81
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.29
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$27.22
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.4
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+149%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$550
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$20.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$337.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.