La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8919299827d2e7a2fd42df7e1b5d1371c23091e589cd2ee59af7f0b8ab1355a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 8,766$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.78 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…2027backed Yes | 29c | 3,604$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 1,060$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 71c | 1,009$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 986$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.94 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 495$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 73c | 371.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 337.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 30c | 333.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 71c | 189$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 184.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 184$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 181$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 99.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 84.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…8c93backed Yes | 42c | 82.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 56.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…603cbacked Yes | 28c | 43.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed No | 60c | 24.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.