TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa520…e1a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40.08
Will Espanyol vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48.25
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$22.84
Will Valencia vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Espanyol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150.3%+$34.56
Will CA Banfield vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.72
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Unión end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will CA Lanús vs. CF Universidad de Chile end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Independiente vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$47.72
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.99
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.99
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will PSV vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$69.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+32.8%+$9.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.