Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23d7b2f625d59cba4f003ab89c49fc0058783bebc9396f182396a69efccc792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 76c | 3,126$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,783$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.65 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 27c | 1,857$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 1,018$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 27c | 796.3$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 27c | 686$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 58c | 530.28$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.29 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 2c | 502.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 68c | 458.96$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 28c | 458.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 70c | 398.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Yes | 30c | 398.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 221.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 26c | 189.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 25c | 175.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…a6e9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 27c | 101.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 72c | 89.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 19c | 78.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 71.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…eebdbacked Yes | 29c | 59.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?this page
- Will PSV win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.