TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9775…8746

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$301.29
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT5226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$62.28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$38.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$90.15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$62.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$178
Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Leeds United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bristol City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Everton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Newcastle vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.39
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+260.7%+$39.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$102.86
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Will FC København vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will PSV vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+285.9%+$85.78
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Napoli vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Monaco vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$120
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+297.4%+$89.23
Will Chelsea vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Olympique Marseille vs. Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$258.76
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+733.3%+$220
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.2%+$37.53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$46.42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+218.4%+$155.06
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$29.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+132.8%+$39.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31%+$87.87
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 8 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$347.91
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$21.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$888.97
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+303%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+303%+$121.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 150 or more times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$13.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.