Champions League · resolved market
Will FC København vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd33ddfb3139b7177247857bff75c757edaf0dc16f427034cae9a720c7542a3c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 6,114$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.1 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 50c | 3,112$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 1,923$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.12 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 39c | 1,076$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 69c | 729.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.46 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…698bbacked Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…46dbbacked No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 18c | 544.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 74c | 444$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 29c | 439.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 19c | 438$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 32c | 333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 12c | 242.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 238.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Yes | 25c | 218.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 26c | 211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 26c | 170.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 26c | 152.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 23c | 149.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 80.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…524dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…af17backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…0ff9backed No | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc1…03c9backed Yes | 38c | 44.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…f579backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
- Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.