Champions League · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b4433ab6d05a3eb54dcda4fda8a9f0e9f69f639a527aeb2e8ce3506cdc4408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 30c | 6,741$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.75 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 20c | 5,887$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.46 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 20c | 5,708$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.6 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,535$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 4,798$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.53 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 79c | 3,097$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.32 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,050$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 80c | 2,001$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,992$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.86 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 79c | 1,400$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 19c | 1,328$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked No | 78c | 1,168$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 79c | 1,102$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 21c | 974.36$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…d367backed Yes | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 34c | 700$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 24c | 673.57$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 80c | 552$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 20c | 408.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…b13abacked Yes | 23c | 380.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 77c | 371.36$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 80c | 342.5$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 334.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 80c | 320$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 20c | 313.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…dfe8backed No | 80c | 263.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 80c | 262.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…895cbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 21c | 243$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…d95bbacked No | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 80c | 209.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…326fbacked Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 80c | 158$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…68febacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 21c | 77.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…ff2abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…0d95backed Yes | 22c | 45.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…49d5backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…3e91backed No | 80c | 23.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 80c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…728cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…9253backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…aa4ebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
- Will FC København vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.