TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b5…49d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.74
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25%+$8.82
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.33
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.13
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+108.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Duke (-9.5)backed UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.51
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Atalanta vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+61.9%+$9.29
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
SC Heerenveen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+36.2%+$6.53
Haqparast vs. Salkilldbacked Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.