NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01dd2c33abe40016f1fb114f78cc166168567fdb8913fb560df27293d0d4d9ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sabres | 14c | 150,000$20,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,249.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 46c | 137,007$62,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,414.07 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sabres | 58c | 134,943$78,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,266.9 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flames | 42c | 91,616$38,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,137.48 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 59c | 39,860$23,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,516.42 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Sabres | 59c | 24,576$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flames | 75c | 21,993$16,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.26 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sabres | 58c | 15,033$8,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.14 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sabres | 58c | 12,200$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.96 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 41c | 11,895$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,018.12 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flames | 72c | 9,409$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.54 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 61c | 8,333$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.62 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 75c | 6,162$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.49 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sabres | 25c | 5,681$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.17 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 70c | 5,335$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.99 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flames | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Sabres | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 43c | 2,903$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.66 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sabres | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 28c | 2,262$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.67 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 54c | 2,243$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.22 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sabres | 40c | 2,156$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.11 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Flames | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flames | 71c | 1,754$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.26 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 42c | 1,733$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.14 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Flames | 50c | 1,707$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.47 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 42c | 1,690$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.48 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…898cbacked Flames | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…9626backed Sabres | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 58c | 1,358$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.88 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Sabres | 59c | 1,205$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Flames | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaad…5287backed Flames | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631d…4759backed Sabres | 59c | 1,190$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Sabres | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Flames | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Sabres | 58c | 993.8$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.65 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Flames | 56c | 985.34$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.34 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Sabres | 59c | 980$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Sabres | 59c | 896.27$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.8 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Sabres | 58c | 869.92$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.55 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Sabres | 29c | 869.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sabres | 27c | 842.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.33 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Sabres | 57c | 833.12$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.88 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Flames | 42c | 830$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Sabres | 59c | 814.03$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.28 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…e0d5backed Flames | 42c | 790$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sabres | 59c | 711.86$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Flames | 41c | 708.37$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.94 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flames | 42c | 707$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.4 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 58c | 683$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed Sabres | 59c | 640$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed Flames | 42c | 605.69$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Sabres | 59c | 605.08$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Sabres | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sabres | 43c | 557.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Flames | 42c | 528.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.57 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Sabres | 57c | 524.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sabres | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…5348backed Sabres | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Sabres | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Sabres | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flames | 42c | 452.09$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.41 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Sabres | 19c | 446$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Sabres | 58c | 420$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 56c | 415.66$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.13 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Sabres | 28c | 370.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Sabres | 33c | 328.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flames | 41c | 320$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Sabres | 27c | 319$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Flames | 41c | 287.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Sabres | 59c | 276.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Flames | 42c | 273.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Flames | 78c | 256.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Sabres | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Sabres | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…01c8backed Sabres | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Flames | 43c | 233.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6b…cf39backed Flames | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Sabres | 9c | 219.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…b01abacked Sabres | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Sabres | 25c | 203.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Flames | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…00dfbacked Flames | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b41…0094backed Sabres | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…3363backed Sabres | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…93a5backed Flames | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Sabres | 59c | 194.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ceb…ddcebacked Sabres | 58c | 189$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…ce90backed Flames | 42c | 188$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Flames | 42c | 188$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…c645backed Flames | 42c | 187$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff2…4b93backed Sabres | 58c | 186$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sabres | 30c | 183.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Sabresthis page
- Flames vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.