TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa87…b01a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$204.55
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$73.88
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Heat vs. Spursbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.79
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$66.02
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$41.21
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$1,486.17
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$229.36
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$86.47
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.94
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$84.38
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$196.43
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.