TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,015,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,018,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x145c…43bcbacked Devils49c369,194$179,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190,015.423148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Kings52c238,284$123,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,907.849340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Kings53c140,813$74,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,977.714452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Kings51c75,304$38,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,251.8515953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Devils48c65,063$31,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,856.5821652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Kings51c62,288$31,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,974.4314538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Devils48c60,566$29,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,308.0688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Devils47c52,576$24,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,854.5936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings51c47,552$24,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,309.2716743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings23c45,000$10,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50442552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings51c36,485$18,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,734.5431546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Devils49c30,748$15,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,673.2441246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings51c27,456$14,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,048.681,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Devils47c25,415$12,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,365.711,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Devils48c20,700$9,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,76413553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils49c18,129$8,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,288.51,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Kings25c16,859$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.554035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Kings52c13,500$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.9810356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Devils50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Devils47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings51c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.9956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Kings49c8,995$4,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.5170547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings51c8,037$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.7252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Kings4c7,227$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Devils48c6,671$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Devils49c5,394$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.1462249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Kings52c5,172$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.5930848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Kings50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Kings1c4,813$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.131414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Devils49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.635648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kings23c3,805$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.1727143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Devils50c3,773$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.4815646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e0d…285dbacked Kings52c3,725$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Devils50c3,643$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.2330551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Devils67c3,523$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.731,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils50c3,000$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.9663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Devils61c2,966$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.411,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Devils48c2,862$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.837847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Kings50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Kings50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings51c2,495$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.4593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils48c2,484$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.231,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings52c2,222$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.4386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Devils48c2,095$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.1830946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings52c2,075$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.1987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Devils49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Devils47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0702,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Devils50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Devils49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0308645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0777…110ebacked Devils51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e0…43d0backed Kings50c1,960$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e39…3122backed Kings53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c1,776$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.437450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings52c1,670$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Devils51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78434845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils49c1,500$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Devils71c1,384$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings49c1,331$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.821,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Devils50c1,273$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.38543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings36c1,215$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.7558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings6c1,082$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6654418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…7488backed Devils48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.671741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Devils56c1,024$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.6433837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Devils75c1,002$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Kings51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5216…fe0bbacked Kings51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Devils46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ad…e1e5backed Devils48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings36c982.7$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.969149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings51c950$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.540550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9682…738bbacked Kings1c915.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Devils49c862.04$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.6469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Kings27c829.43$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Kings53c735.84$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341e…9b67backed Devils67c634.33$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Devils48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32511245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Devils47c600$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32018750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Devils74c427.75$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.823568.6%24 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Kings52c421.76$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.113952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa87…b01abacked Devils48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils75c404.35$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.993,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Devils50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Kings53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Kings53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003850%19 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Devils48c333$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1623741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Devils48c331.59$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4348748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc876…1a19backed Devils48c322.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Kings53c322.64$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715058%29 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings51c251$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kings51c222$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Devils48c217.89$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.316346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2663…b0bbbacked Devils47c215.68$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Kings20c208$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.68543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Devils49c204.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4723140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Devils65c202.28$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.83154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Devils47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10635349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.