TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4cb9…3783

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,979
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT64139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 641 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$86.99
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$76.8
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$56.1
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$78
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+149.4%+$32.49
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$228
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150.4
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$78
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Showing 25 of 641 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST25941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 259 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+127.3%+$100.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$167.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+203%+$201
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$81.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$105.6
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs illwill (BO1) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group Bbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$77.91
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Tricked (BO1) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group Bbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.49
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$95.2
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$39.6
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$43.2
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$142.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$133.8
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$275.28
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 259 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT23741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 237 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$81
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.4
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$41.6
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.6
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$125.4
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+148.4%+$239
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$87.5
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$161.99
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$152.99
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+117.4%+$162
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+552.2%+$508
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+113.7%+$133
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$101.2
Islanders vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Showing 25 of 237 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST22840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pune: Alastair Gray vs Federico Cinabacked Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$63.8
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58.3
Chile Open: Cristian Garin vs Sebastian Baezbacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$37.4
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$48.4
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Rebecca Sramkova vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+946%+$226.1
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Varvara Grachevabacked Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.75
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41.2
Rotterdam Open: Zizou Bergs vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Francesco Passarobacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+217.5%+$68.5
Dallas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$77
Dallas Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Rotterdam Open: Quentin Halys vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Thijs Boogaard vs Hugo Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.2%+$106
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64.48
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$160
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+80.2%+$89
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST21735.9%78 W · 139 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$195.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+383.9%+$476
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$162
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$366.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$94.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$46
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$76
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$226.44
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$147.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.82
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$135
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$175
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$355
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$115
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+74.1%+$234
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$207.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$435
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72.1
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6844.1%30 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$109.89
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$448
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.3%+$104.25
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$164
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$61.95
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+98.7%+$74.5
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$164
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$81
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+135.3%+$115
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$159
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$82.75
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+316.7%+$121.6
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$137.4
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST3534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+72.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$116.66
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+426.3%+$243
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$396.57
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.66
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$160.55
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.05
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$61.33
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+62.2%+$69
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.64
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+313.1%+$130.28
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$232.81
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.54
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.71
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+467.7%+$619.51
Grokipedia released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+174.5%+$804.72
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$578.45
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.21
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$76.3
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$69
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.02
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+80.3%+$49
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.99
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Yankees vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.5
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.16
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.31
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+97%+$98.5
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+100.7%+$110.38
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$47.6
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$778
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+71%+$271.92
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$56
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Hermansson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$46.79
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$75.8
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Izagakhmaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$67.99
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$90
UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. Loder (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Loder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.41
UFC Fight Night: Rock vs. Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
UFC Fight Night: Freeman vs. Bujlo (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Bujlo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$63.99
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$327.6
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Onama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Cuamba vs. Leebacked Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$259.98
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$99
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukbacked Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$83
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+287.6%+$185.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.44
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$39.1
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$46.2
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$68.99
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$183.62
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$73.98
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$95.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$68.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.41
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$66
Will Everton win on 2025-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.5
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+375.5%+$149.31
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$193.15
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$76.43
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$81.99
2025 September hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.81
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.38
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$659.66
Megaquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$113
Megaquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.52
Will a hurricane form by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.37
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.48
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,784.07
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+109.8%+$78.5
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+233.3%+$210
San Diego State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+233.3%+$130.66
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$114.92
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
Air Force vs. San Jose Statebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$72.6
Duke vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+270.4%+$167.9
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$88
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$92
SMU Mustangs vs. Boston Collegebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$75.9
Temple vs. Armybacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65.9
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Floridabacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Northern Illinois vs. Toledobacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.2
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40.22
Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$81.2
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$147.9
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knightsbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$39.2
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$77.4
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$114.91
Austin Peay Governors vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+83%+$75.73
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.52
Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$88.5
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$22.4
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$56
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$136
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179.78
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$88
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+174.9%+$182.76
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47.9
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+82%+$317.48
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+98%+$1,974.54
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$47.74
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$93.24
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$266.3
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.56
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.4%+$39.9
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.1%+$42.48
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+426.3%+$202.5
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+105.7%+$121.79
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.62
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$506.91
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+93.8%+$646.94
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$34.27
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.87
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.08
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.26
Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$32
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$76.89
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+203%+$107.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+354.7%+$156.02
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$70.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$73.79
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$157
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Sudan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$61.2
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$118.8
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Senegal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$116.62
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$60.5
Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+118.3%+$135.5
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$127.99
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$134
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+129.5%+$1,367.55
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$128
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$371.71
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+119.3%+$108.79
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.3
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+100.3%+$475.69
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+93.9%+$173.83
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$285.8
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$196
Will Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$86.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Will Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$66.69
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$109.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$127
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.03
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.6
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+117.9%+$243.5
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+82.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.01
Fever vs Sparksbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.25
Sun vs Mercurybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Lynx vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.86
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+203%+$160.79
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$108.42
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+71.1%+$27.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariano vs Jungleman: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Jungleman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+98.4%+$548.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by between 24% and 26.9% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$78.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.