TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Jacksonville Dolphins vs. North Alabama Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville Dolphinsof Jacksonville Dolphins, North Alabama Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions54c7,347$3,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,987.535,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Jacksonville Dolphins62c6,671$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.065556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Alabama Lions38c6,652$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.251,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Jacksonville Dolphins46c5,301$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.8335945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Alabama Lions39c4,138$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.252,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins62c3,077$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.214,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jacksonville Dolphins45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed North Alabama Lions54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9928539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Jacksonville Dolphins46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9121248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins47c2,122$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Alabama Lions38c2,106$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked North Alabama Lions34c2,075$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.271,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked North Alabama Lions54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0804548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jacksonville Dolphins65c1,401$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.6849746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed Jacksonville Dolphins62c1,370$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Jacksonville Dolphins47c1,083$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.097965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Alabama Lions32c990.56$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.141,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jacksonville Dolphins46c812.7$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed North Alabama Lions50c784.21$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.062,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jacksonville Dolphins47c669.94$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.0582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked North Alabama Lions45c620.15$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.071,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Jacksonville Dolphins46c613.09$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2621050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Alabama Lions47c541.79$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d30…b7a8backed Jacksonville Dolphins68c496.69$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked North Alabama Lions55c453.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.78230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins47c444$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3213342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed North Alabama Lions53c434.04$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked North Alabama Lions54c407.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9374152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked North Alabama Lions53c362.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Jacksonville Dolphins45c359.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins74c335$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.771,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Jacksonville Dolphins63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Jacksonville Dolphins63c283.73$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9850546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins46c227.54$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Jacksonville Dolphins45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2221443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed North Alabama Lions55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Jacksonville Dolphins59c152.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5449849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed North Alabama Lions35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.512617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jacksonville Dolphins73c143$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8b…13e8backed Jacksonville Dolphins68c141.91$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jacksonville Dolphins46c140.51$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1714151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c139.29$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2926254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Alabama Lions30c137.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.593,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed North Alabama Lions56c103$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed North Alabama Lions55c101$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.521936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jacksonville Dolphins46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed North Alabama Lions10c99.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked North Alabama Lions56c88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed North Alabama Lions44c86.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9845644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville Dolphins49c84.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.692,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins46c64.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8375447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Jacksonville Dolphins47c62.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked North Alabama Lions48c62.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6110151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a2…20a8backed North Alabama Lions53c51.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…a2d2backed North Alabama Lions55c50.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville Dolphins45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed North Alabama Lions45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5922552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5681…b253backed Jacksonville Dolphins68c45.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa548…1fd5backed Jacksonville Dolphins68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Jacksonville Dolphins45c43.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ae…db12backed Jacksonville Dolphins48c42.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418c…6962backed North Alabama Lions55c41.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville Dolphins70c38.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.414,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Alabama Lions49c32.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2157335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Alabama Lions36c32.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Jacksonville Dolphins46c32.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.75149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…f7eebacked Jacksonville Dolphins47c30.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed Jacksonville Dolphins61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72875%21 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe614…07c9backed Jacksonville Dolphins68c28.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe125…6de2backed Jacksonville Dolphins47c26.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…fb3ebacked North Alabama Lions55c26.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…9335backed Jacksonville Dolphins47c25.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d6…121fbacked North Alabama Lions57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed North Alabama Lions55c22.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.322250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9064…084dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e0a…28f5backed North Alabama Lions55c21.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed North Alabama Lions54c18.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.