TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: North Alabama Lions (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville Dolphinsof North Alabama Lions, Jacksonville Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$887,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,062,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c473,088$264,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,406.1535945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked North Alabama Lions44c460,158$202,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,469.329652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked North Alabama Lions44c200,000$88,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,00089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c200,000$112,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed North Alabama Lions45c18,888$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.610045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c9,900$5,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3565759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed North Alabama Lions44c8,735$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.583154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions45c6,597$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.625,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed North Alabama Lions48c5,207$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jacksonville Dolphins55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Jacksonville Dolphins55c3,996$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.2916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jacksonville Dolphins53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins55c1,803$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.125556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Alabama Lions42c1,745$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked North Alabama Lions45c1,495$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.146144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jacksonville Dolphins55c1,301$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.792,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed North Alabama Lions44c1,156$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6642246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4408351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins53c881.82$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked North Alabama Lions46c549.51$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.858230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c468.92$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8418046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c447.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3211946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed North Alabama Lions45c442.23$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19921050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c354.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.175560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed North Alabama Lions45c347.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.191,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked North Alabama Lions45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Jacksonville Dolphins71c280.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.052458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked North Alabama Lions48c244.46$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.366144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed North Alabama Lions47c225.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.26238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed North Alabama Lions46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jacksonville Dolphins55c198.56$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.412,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c192.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6211159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08f0…6cabbacked North Alabama Lions46c187.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins57c185$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.482,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Jacksonville Dolphins55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8219657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed North Alabama Lions48c125.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed North Alabama Lions48c120.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.694443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jacksonville Dolphins55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c97.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7118646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c86.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.914955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed North Alabama Lions45c82.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3861…4045backed North Alabama Lions48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0562753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.436654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Jacksonville Dolphins40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Jacksonville Dolphins55c68.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6915844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked North Alabama Lions45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8817546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c54.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.183161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed North Alabama Lions45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked North Alabama Lions45c48.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed North Alabama Lions41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked North Alabama Lions33c47.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed North Alabama Lions48c47.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.585648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Alabama Lions45c44.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2557335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c44.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.679257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed North Alabama Lions45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.863551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0343…5475backed North Alabama Lions47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343b…d892backed North Alabama Lions48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed North Alabama Lions44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.649746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Alabama Lions47c37.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…9975backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea3…9439backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c34.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.161546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked North Alabama Lions46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e92…18c4backed North Alabama Lions47c31.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.645549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c30.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4911858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked North Alabama Lions48c29.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.390%0 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191e…b6bebacked Jacksonville Dolphins56c22.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.832669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5305…57e8backed Jacksonville Dolphins53c22.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.453429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1881…85a2backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefc…e5e8backed Jacksonville Dolphins56c19.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f97…6195backed North Alabama Lions69c16.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.