TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x985e…6894

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
318
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10761.7%66 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$34.62
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$17.64
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.54
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.22
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.27
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$87.93
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+89%+$51.48
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$57.05
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.26
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$87.53
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$214.41
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.89
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$61.29
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.8
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$83.07
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$81.97
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.8%+$102.83
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$170.37
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$141.93
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$69.96
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$77.88
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT8651.2%44 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$18.73
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$44.01
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$2.71
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$3.3
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.08
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+91%+$14.76
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.55
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$22.27
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$17.68
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.15
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$6.01
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.02
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-3.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.92
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+105.1%+$81.11
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$48.97
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$25.46
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+119.8%+$30.96
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51.49
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$58.01
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$80.25
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.35
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$30.21
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+94.7%+$55.98
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$46.92
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$11.39
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.67
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.11
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$20.67
Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-15.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.26
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$25.67
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.19
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.84
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.3
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$5.94
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29%+$8.94
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37.4%+$11.07
Will Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.1%+$4.92
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.73
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85%+$22.61
Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.3%+$5.37
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$28.14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+86.8%+$9.44
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+41.8%+$10.69
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.07
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+34.6%+$11.56
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+80.1%+$14.61
Will Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.9%+$9.97
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+97.1%+$42.6
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$71.17
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.6%+$40.9
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$122.31
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$20.32
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.81
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$95
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.8%+$185.89
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$63.3
Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$38.11
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.99
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+238%+$68.61
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+130.2%+$78.53
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USAbacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.95
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.63
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.17
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.99
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.46
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$78.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-71.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+199.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.84
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.8%+$12.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+52.8%+$6.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.32
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.29
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.