TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,078,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,169,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,078,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c362,335$188,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188,390.7535945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c350,000$168,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182,0009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over51c150,000$76,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,055.1421754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under48c150,000$71,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,749.9330249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under52c80,000$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,4001921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over52c72,950$37,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,931.288246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over51c65,071$33,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,186.3889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c56,152$27,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,778.8921262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,4008145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over53c36,090$19,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,127.5312754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c18,348$9,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,329.8312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c13,999$6,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,279.351,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under48c12,028$5,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,254.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under52c7,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over52c5,658$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.0625556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over52c5,084$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.9916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over51c4,144$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.989050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over52c2,924$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.3912054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c1,799$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.531,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under51c1,122$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.024266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c1,046$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.0511555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under52c832.9$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.073455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c761.58$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over53c467.12$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.315959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Under51c388.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.391353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under51c374.12$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3216755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under53c332.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.983666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over52c325.64$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.999543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.469551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013940.3%56 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c198.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4840755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under50c193.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.524660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.313851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over51c189.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under51c177.53$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.653366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.58750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c125.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.217258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3644…671abacked Under48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c116.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.052965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3823754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Over53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.74868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Over51c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.373447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under54c81.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.693473.5%25 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.923554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.476154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over52c75.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.174645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Over48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Over51c71.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.43745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c70.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c70.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.763,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2435050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Under48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.42333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e90…b93bbacked Over35c57.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Over51c52.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.793961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Under51c51.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.463161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Over51c50.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.584951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under51c49.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.423868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8adc…5803backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7d…7395backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Over51c49.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over50c47.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c2…4d5cbacked Under49c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Over53c41.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Over51c40.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7211858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over52c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.818452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Over52c28.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc7…4880backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.368556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked Over51c23.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Over51c23.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.855549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under49c23.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.827844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under49c20.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.625763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8dde…b1aebacked Under50c20.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Over53c19.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.