TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cd3…772a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.4
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.42
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.6
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.07
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.77
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.29
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.66
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.06
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.77
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.77
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.29
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.4
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.72
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.58
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.62
Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.9
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+95%+$28.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+74.5%+$11.65
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.02
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.84
Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-4.5)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.6
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+86.1%+$12.91
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.4
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$15
High Point Panthers vs. Radford Highlandersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+39.2%+$4.66
Wagner Seahawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+39%+$13.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+87.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+199.4%+$125.04
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.9%+$25.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.43
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+233.3%+$25.2
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+412.7%+$82.54
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$14.7
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.14
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.2%+$26.77
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+136.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+113%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+118.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.78
FC Metz vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+434.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+434.3%+$434.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Aliona Bolsova vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Bolsova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+64%+$12.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.