Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd8a18e982d5d3a5d631dffde818c2ca2487294dc36b688d7d709ed5ccff33a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Evil Geniuses, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Sentinels | 62c | 4,183$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 4,010$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.95 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels | 75c | 2,443$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.82 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…1d7dbacked Evil Geniuses | 40c | 1,153$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Evil Geniuses | 36c | 1,020$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.4 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 994.63$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Sentinels | 54c | 755.78$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.66 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Evil Geniuses | 39c | 530$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 319.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Evil Geniuses | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Evil Geniuses | 14c | 178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sentinels | 66c | 143$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses | 13c | 106.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Sentinels | 76c | 60.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Sentinels | 68c | 42.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsSentinels won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.