Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1b484b74700ceebb760ac022a0933cfb8c6b09b9c1f990b27ad0328fd00182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Evil Geniuses, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Sentinels | 75c | 8,490$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses | 27c | 4,251$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.02 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 3,673$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.04 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels | 72c | 2,804$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.72 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Sentinels | 70c | 2,591$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.27 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels | 71c | 2,334$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.62 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Evil Geniuses | 28c | 1,400$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 1,376$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.95 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Evil Geniuses | 20c | 1,126$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.94 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Evil Geniuses | 29c | 981$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 941.85$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…e1c2backed Sentinels | 71c | 912.5$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…0fe6backed Sentinels | 68c | 882$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Evil Geniuses | 27c | 874.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.41 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…1d7dbacked Evil Geniuses | 21c | 830.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked Evil Geniuses | 13c | 799.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 29c | 788.34$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sentinels | 74c | 765$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 706.21$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Evil Geniuses | 30c | 679.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.89 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Evil Geniuses | 23c | 668.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 602.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses | 16c | 594$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Evil Geniuses | 5c | 592.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sentinels | 71c | 550$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Evil Geniuses | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 453$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Sentinels | 80c | 415.09$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…3888backed Evil Geniuses | 29c | 314.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Sentinels | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Sentinels | 69c | 280.76$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Evil Geniuses | 17c | 279.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Sentinels | 70c | 246.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…2f88backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 230$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Sentinels | 61c | 223.16$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…e7a5backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 209.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Sentinels | 65c | 200.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Evil Geniuses | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +174%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 177.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Sentinels | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b5…cab4backed Evil Geniuses | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses | 19c | 129.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…42b4backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Sentinels | 73c | 115.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Sentinels | 78c | 106.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 105.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…e852backed Evil Geniuses | 38c | 81.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Sentinels | 73c | 65.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…1bf6backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 57.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Sentinels | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sentinels | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Sentinels | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Evil Geniuses | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…b33cbacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 37.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed Sentinels | 78c | 28.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Sentinels | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Sentinels | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sentinels | 76c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…0ed2backed Sentinels | 71c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Sentinels | 69c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.