TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb108…7212

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT5032%16 W · 34 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$56.24
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.2
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.67
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.25
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.9%+$43.05
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.8
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.8
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+181.1%+$94.71
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$41.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.14
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+214%+$58.09
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+350%+$70
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$39.2
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+222.6%+$27.6
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37.91
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70.4
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$84
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70.4
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$54.4
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$44.75
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+102%+$40.4
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$73.08
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.39
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$13.96
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.