TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
All Gamersof Paper Rex, All Gamers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,858 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7744…999ebacked Paper Rex43c54,053$23,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,305.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed All Gamers60c46,725$27,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,82034356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed All Gamers41c6,847$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.295939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Paper Rex58c6,798$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.7726050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked All Gamers55c4,647$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.0265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked All Gamers51c4,326$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.2968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed All Gamers57c3,987$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.2321558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x568c…fbd0backed Paper Rex60c3,865$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed All Gamers51c3,534$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.2953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed All Gamers52c3,358$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.42951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…359dbacked Paper Rex43c2,473$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed All Gamers44c2,205$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.2614252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex26c2,112$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e7…4704backed All Gamers44c2,050$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.452035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked All Gamers60c1,842$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.422759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed All Gamers28c1,808$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.3812951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Paper Rex43c1,692$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x750c…2fe3backed Paper Rex43c1,649$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex34c1,541$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.6819248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471d…8b22backed Paper Rex43c1,350$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex35c1,304$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.7581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed All Gamers53c1,119$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.0333759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed All Gamers48c1,051$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.1893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed All Gamers27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7304637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed All Gamers61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7d…fbafbacked All Gamers51c914.24$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed All Gamers61c882.41$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Paper Rex65c840.09$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed All Gamers33c777.51$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8626051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…e8acbacked Paper Rex52c693.73$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex44c659.83$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.541,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paper Rex68c594.36$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.7734847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed Paper Rex58c577.87$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked All Gamers50c565.76$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.376250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Paper Rex67c477.69$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32025555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex55c442.96$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1570251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bd…61e4backed All Gamers71c424.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.56850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked All Gamers31c353.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.543145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked All Gamers37c350$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed All Gamers44c343$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.083345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Paper Rex55c340.83$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.923256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Paper Rex64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Paper Rex32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964332.6%14 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed All Gamers41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.153046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Paper Rex8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed All Gamers59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12312745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Paper Rex64c293.04$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Paper Rex36c286.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2631227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked All Gamers48c284.56$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.14963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed All Gamers29c277.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9314645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked All Gamers31c275.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1936138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex37c262$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.621,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed All Gamers27c257.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1136145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked All Gamers51c254.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5313759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked All Gamers44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked All Gamers64c246.88$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.882060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe87…83d6backed Paper Rex28c246.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Paper Rex37c244.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4914652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex75c242.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.058751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paper Rex50c228$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.378837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked All Gamers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.278343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdcb…b106backed Paper Rex67c223.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked All Gamers75c222$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7818241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ace…6069backed Paper Rex50c221.8$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paper Rex68c218.48$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3861035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ee…eb4fbacked All Gamers46c216.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.153455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Paper Rex47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.328835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e10…50d8backed Paper Rex75c212$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf8…1e82backed All Gamers27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked All Gamers53c195.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.083158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Paper Rex56c186.51$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.189142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paper Rex51c179$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.059042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Paper Rex57c176.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c53…55e6backed Paper Rex75c175$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed All Gamers43c172.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.132951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Paper Rex60c166.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Paper Rex54c165.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aac…960cbacked Paper Rex65c154.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.642661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x693b…a6a6backed All Gamers25c151$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef08…c975backed All Gamers25c150$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Paper Rex52c144$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.824932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x23be…f369backed Paper Rex75c144$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ad…cb38backed Paper Rex75c144$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Paper Rex44c136.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8051…cbcebacked All Gamers25c136$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed All Gamers26c130$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.222018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954a…b92abacked All Gamers25c127$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Paper Rex52c126.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Paper Rex68c125$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed All Gamers44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed All Gamers50c116.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.069837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3dd…5300backed Paper Rex47c116.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked Paper Rex57c115.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed All Gamers29c112.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.131723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb868…a09ebacked All Gamers25c111$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…58dcbacked Paper Rex46c105.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.431560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Paper Rex25c105.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.346949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked All Gamers68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Paper Rex57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed Paper Rex56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5619257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.