TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9734…bfd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
411
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT19257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$64.5
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.49
Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$71.51
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+89%+$71.19
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.66
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$21.12
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$43.38
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$108.19
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$19.72
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.66
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT8862.5%55 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.51
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$96.83
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+182.4%+$182.44
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.81
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85%+$122.59
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT7459.5%44 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$72.83
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$85.49
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$56.81
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43%+$86.05
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.57
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.57
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$343.88
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.14
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$44.71
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$49.81
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.35
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$317
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$583.36
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.22
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$266.34
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.1
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+50.4%+$109.81
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.1%+$696.16
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.05
Weili vs. Suarezbacked Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$108.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$202.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.